I just ran some numbers. If I sold my condo and cleared a bit of cash, say $15K, even with my salary, I’d hardly be able to upgrade to a full one-bedroom in a nicer part of town. I worked up some numbers with the Kiplinger’s Real Estate calculators. I used the one to find out how much can I borrow and one to find out how much can I spend on housing.
The reasonable figure I came up with was buy a place for $279k, and put 5% down. With taxes, PMI and home insurance, that’s about $2030 a month for the mortgage payment. Factor in monthly maintenance cost/HOA fee, utilities, I’d barely be able to cover the cost of a home like this.
The reason is that with a full complement of saving in my 401k plan (capped at a theoretical $16k for 2009), plus some money in the company ESPP, an HSA (capped at $2400), and a little for a Roth 401k, there would be very little left for a mortgage payment. I am not sure I’d want to pay more than 50% of my take home pay on a mortgage. That seems like excessive saving, doesn’t it? But when you’re in your 30’s and undersaved for retirement like I am, I think supercharging my saving is a good idea.
I just don’t understand the DC housing market. How can people live here, save and have kids all at the same time? Unless you really are a K Street lobbyist raking in the dough, it’s nigh impossible to live here and raise children all at the same time. (But is my dream of San Francisco any better? Hardly.)
My other strategy is to stay put and ride things out, even though there are things going afoot at my condo that displease me and could end up being worse if I wait. (Action is sometimes better than inaction.) I could easily see thing going to hell in a handbasket and getting a special one-time assessment of $2-4k next year for major property repairs.
I could rent my apartment out and find an alternative place to live, but the rent I could collect is less than what I’d have to pay so it’s a negative cash flow situation.
The last strategy is to sell and move to an apartment with a roommate. However, with the way my mortgages and HOA fee work out, I’d be hard pressed to find a great living situation for rent and utilities for less than what I pay now. And great would have to mean a not crappy neighborhood where I wouldn’t have to struggle to park my car. Now that’s a joke in busy Arlington.
One of my girlfriends lives in a one-bedroom with all utilities for $950/mo, but she has no elevator, a walk up 2 flights of stairs after a 20′ flight of stairs just to reach her building from the parking lot, a crowded parking lot and crappy neighbors. Should I go in the opposite direction, I’d be paying the same amount as my current housing cost for one-bedroom rent with utilities included, and extra for limited parking. But the building would have package service and a bigger laundry facility with nicer views. And likely the rent would actually be about $200 more than my current housing cost since it’s not rent controlled and could easily balloon after 12 months.
So really I should shut up and put up with the mess that is my condo, keep my head down, pay off the credit cards and keep my savings plan intact.
Every once in a while, it’s nice to get a cold hard reality check, run the numbers, and say to yourself, “Well this glass is certainly half-fulll, but really, at least it’s not half-full of poison.”